NL East Division Odds
New York Mets
The NL East is by far the toughest division in all of baseball. There are four teams that have a decent shot of the postseason. While the Braves are the favorite to three-peat the Nationals, Mets, and Phillies are all in contention. The only thing that is certain in the NL East is that the Marlins are a huge long shot to win the division.
For most of last season, the Atlanta Braves looked like a team that was going to make a run in the postseason. Unfortunately for them, the Cardinals had other plans. Except for the Marlins any team in this division has a shot at the postseason. Last years Atlanta Braves lead by Ronald Acuna were able to win there second straight NL East title. After they gained the NL East lead on June 12th the never gave it up. Along with that, Ronald Acuna, Freddie Freeman, and Josh Donaldson all were in the top 11 of MVP voting. Needless to say, the Braves are ready to get this season going.
With all of the stars from last year’s team returning this year the Braves look to be a force in the National League. During the offseason, the braves brought in Marcell Ozuna to add to there already powerful lineup. Even with a strong batting order, the Braves have an equally as impressive bullpen. With extra time to get healthy due to the coronavirus, this team will likely compete for the NL East title for the third year in a row. This Atlanta Braves team is the second favorite to win the National League behind only the Dodgers.
After an incredible World Series run last year the Nationals are looking to continue the success this season. Last season the Nationals struggled to win games early on, but after June 1st they were tied with the Astros for the winningest team in all of baseball. The Nationals are returning almost everyone from last year’s team, with the exception of third baseman Anthony Rendon. It will be interesting to see how they stack up in baseball’s toughest division.
While losing one player doesn’t determine a team’s success, the loss of Anthony Rendon is really going to hurt them. Even if this team can’t pull ahead in the NL East they will most likely be in contention for the NL Wild Card spot. The Nationals also return 4 starting pitchers that combined for 123 starts last year, pitching 749 innings with a combined ERA of 3.33. While no one excepts this team to go back to back, they will more than likely be a playoff contender the entire season.
New York Mets
After a disappointing start to the season last year the Mets made a post-All-Star Break run at the Post Season. Even though they ultimately fell short they still won some important games for the future. Following the season the Mets hired former player Carlos Beltran as there next manager. However, he was fired in mid-January after he was named in the Astro’s sign-stealing scandal. Following Beltran’s firing Luis Rojas was hired as the Mets new manager.
Even with some uncertainty in the Mets front office they seem to have a roster that can compete in the National League. It will be interesting to see how a potentially shortened season will affect this young team. If this Mets team can stay healthy this season they will have a shot at a Wild Card spot and maybe even the NL East title.
Over the last 3 off season’s the Phillies have spent over $700 Million bringing in free agents. As a team that has not seen the playoffs since 2011 they are in need of some wins this season. The Phillies are going all in and are officially in win-now mode. Anything short of the playoffs this season will be a failure for the Phillies.
The biggest problem that the Phillies have had over the last few seasons have been there bullpen. With the season starting later than planned Andrew McCutchen should be able to come back stronger than ever from his ACL tear last season. Before he went down last season McCutchen had the second basest on-base percentage in the majors at .378. Even with the firepower that this team has, they are still looking at the 4 spot in the NL East.
There is no denying the fact the Derek Jeter has mismanaged the Marlins from the moment that he took over. While there were some bright spots last year the Marlins still only managed to go 57-105. The Marlins have a lot of potential talent in their farm system, but it could still be years before this team is able to put it all together.
There is almost no way that this team finishes anywhere but last in the NL East. If the Marlins have any chance for improvement they need to get there offense going. The Marlins home field has been known as a pitchers park due to the outfield fences being so far. This offseason they were moved in and will almost definitely lead to more home runs. The Marlins may one day be a good team who can compete in the NL East, but for now they sit at the bottom.