Betting the First Half vs Full Game Spread in College Basketball

First Half vs Full Game Spread

Throughout this College Basketball season, I watched many games where a favorite was covering the spread most of the game and blew the lead in the final few minutes. This made me wonder what the benefits of betting first half lines over full game lines were. Some obvious advantages would be that you don’t have to worry about late-game fouls and garbage time. This made me wonder if there was an advantage to taking the first half-line over the full game line especially in games with large spreads.

Reviewing My Bets

Over the 2019-20 college basketball season, I placed full game spread bets on 162 games. While this is still a very small sample size, it can give us a good idea of what the results may look like. The record for these full games spreads were 85-74-3, winnings at 53.46%. The record for the first half spreads for the same games would have been 96-63-3, winning at 60.38%. The results for all those games are shown below. The pick column represents my pick for each game.

DateMatchupPickFull GameFirst Half
12/28/2019Northern Kentucky vs MilwaukeeNorthern Kentucky -6.5WW
12/29/2019Stony Brook vs Norfolk StateStony Brook -11.5WW
12/29/2019Boston University vs MerrimackBoston -2.5LL
12/29/2019Ohio State vs West VirginiaOhio State -7LW
12/30/2019Georgia vs Austin PeayAustin Peay +12.5LW
12/30/2019DePaul vs Seton HallSeton Hall +1.5WL
12/30/2019Vanderbilt vs DavidsonDavidson +1.5LL
12/31/2019Air Force vs UC RiversideAir Force -4WW
1/1/2020Nevada vs Colorado StateNevada -6PW
1/1/2020UNLV vs Utah StateUtah State -7LL
1/2/2020Charleston vs TowsonCharleston -6WW
1/2/2020Sam Houston State vs McNeese StateSam Houston State -3.5WW
1/3/2020Detroit vs Northern KentuckyNorthern Kentucky -4LL
1/4/2020Clemson vs NC StateNC State -2LL
1/4/2020Eastern Michigan vs AkronAkron -3.5WW
1/7/2020Rutgers vs Penn StatePenn State -1.5LW
1/8/2020Chattanooga vs FurmanFurman -6WL
1/8/2020Wisconsin vs IllinoisWisconsin -4LW
1/9/2020Oregon State vs Arizona StateOregon State -5LL
1/11/2020Villanova vs GeorgetownGeorgetown +8LW
1/11/2020Crieghton vs XavierCreighton +4WW
1/11/2020Indiana State vs Illinois StateIndiana State -7.5WW
1/11/2020Furman vs UNC GreensboroFurman -4.5LL
1/11/2020Nevada vs Utah StateNevada +8.5LL
1/12/2020Purdue vs Michigan StateMichigan State -3.5LL
1/12/2020Quinnipiac vs MonmouthQuinnipiac -1.5WW
1/12/2020Miami(FL) vs PittsburghMiami(FL) -2.5WW
1/14/2020Eastern Michigan vs Ball StateBall State -3.5WW
1/14/2020Western Michigan vs Bowling GreenBowling Green -3.5LW
1/14/2020Davidson vs RichmondRichmond +3WW
1/14/2020Fresno State vs San Diego StateSan Diego State -6.5WW
1/15/2020Lamar vs Sam Houston StateSam Houston State -1WW
1/15/2020Georgia Tech vs Notre DameNotre Dame +2.5WW
1/16/2020Jacksonville vs North FloridaNorth Florida -1WW
1/16/2020Washington vs Oregon StateOregon State +4.5LL
1/18/2020DePaul vs ButlerButler -3.5LL
1/18/2020NC State vs ClemsonNC State -7.5LW
1/18/2020Colgate vs Boston UniversityColgate -6WW
1/18/2020George Mason vs RichmondRichmond -2WW
1/18/2020Navy vs LafayetteLafayette +1.5LW
1/19/2020Niagara vs SienaNiagara +3WL
1/20/2020Virginia vs NC StateNC State +4.5WW
1/20/2020Arkansas Pine Bluff vs Alcorn StateAlcorn State -3WW
1/21/2020Ohio vs ToledoToledo -2WW
1/21/2020Bowling Green vs Eastern MichiganBowling Green -7.5LL
1/23/2020Cleveland State vs Green BayGreen Bay -2.5WW
1/24/2020Quinnipiac vs FairfieldQuinnipiac -4WW
1/25/2020Boston College vs Virginia TechVirginia Tech -3.5LW
1/25/2020American vs ColgateColgate -3WW
1/25/2020Georgia Tech vs NC StateNC State -1LW
1/25/2020San Jose State vs Air ForceAir Force -3LL
1/25/2020Loyola Marymount vs St. Mary'sSt. Mary's -9.5WW
1/25/2020Cal Baptist vs UMKCCal Baptist -6.5LL
1/25/2020Fullerton vs NorthridgeNorthridge -1.5LL
1/26/2020Siena vs QuinnipiacQuinnipiac +4.5LL
1/26/2020Creighton vs XavierCreighton -5WW
1/27/2020Eastern Washington vs Northern ColoradoNorthern Colorado PKLW
1/28/2020St. John's vs VillanovaVillanova -2WW
1/28/2020Clemson vs SyracuseSyracuse +2WW
1/28/2020VCU vs RichmondRichmond +9LW
1/29/2020Bradley vs ValparaisoBradley -6WW
1/29/2020Penn State vs IndianaPenn State -6WL
1/30/2020FIU vs MarshallFIU -2LP
1/30/2020FAU vs Western KentuckyWestern Kentucky -2.5LW
1/30/2020Washington vs ArizonaArizona -2.5WW
1/31/2020Niagara vs MaristNiagara -6LL
2/1/2020Notre Dame vs Georgia TechNotre Dame -6.5WP
2/1/2020St. Francis (PA) vs BryantSt. Francis (PA) -3WW
2/1/2020Eastern Michigan vs ToledoToledo -3.5LL
2/1/2020UTSA vs Middle TennesseeUTSA -7.5LL
2/1/2020Auburn vs KentuckyKentucky +3.5LW
2/2/2020Miami vs PittsburghMiami +6.5WL
2/4/2020Georgia Tech vs Virginia TechVirginia Tech +2.5LL
2/4/2020Eastern Michigan vs BuffaloBuffalo -4LL
2/5/2020Notre Dame vs PittsburghNotre Dame -5.5WW
2/5/2020Providence vs CreightonCreighton +2LW
2/6/2020IUPUI vs Green BayGreen Bay -4.5WW
2/6/2020Tennessee State vs Austin PeayAustin Peay -2LL
2/7/2020Buffalo vs Central MichiganCentral Michigan +5.5WL
2/8/2020Tennessee vs KentuckyKentucky -2.5WW
2/8/2020UAB vs North TexasNorth Texas -4WW
2/8/2020Villanova vs Seton HallVillanova -3.5LW
2/8/2020Utah Valley vs SeattleSeattle PKWW
2/8/2020Nicholls State vs Sam Houston StateSam Houston State +2.5LL
2/8/2020Marshall vs Louisiana TechLouisiana Tech -2LW
2/8/2020Florida Gulf Coast vs North FloridaNorth Florida -5WW
2/8/2020Pacific vs PepperdinePepperdine +3WL
2/11/2020St. Joseph's vs St. BonaventureSt. Bonaventure -7.5WL
2/11/2020Central Michigan vs Eastern MichiganCentral Michigan -6.5LW
2/11/2020Virginia vs Notre DameNotre Dame +4.5WW
2/12/2020West Virginia vs KansasKansas -1WL
2/12/2020Miami vs Boston CollegeMiami -3.5WW
2/12/2020Army vs LafayetteLafayette -1LL
2/13/2020North Florida vs JacksonvilleNorth Florida -9WL
2/15/2020Detroit vs Cleveland StateDetroit -5.5LL
2/15/2020Baylor vs West VirginiaBaylor -5.5WW
2/15/2020Milwaukee vs Green BayGreen Bay +2.5WW
2/15/2020Loyola Chicago vs Northern IowaNorthern Iowa +1LL
2/15/2020James Madison vs TowsonTowson -2.5WW
2/16/2020Temple vs VillanovaVillanova -6.5WL
2/16/2020Loyola Maryland vs ColgateColgate -5LL
2/16/2020Boston College vs NC StateNC State -4.5LL
2/17/2020Notre Dame vs North CarolinaNotre Dame -4LW
2/18/2020New Mexico vs NevadaNevada -2.5WW
2/19/2020UMKC vs Cal BaptistCal Baptist +1LL
2/19/2020DePaul vs VillanovaVillanova -5WW
2/20/2020Appalachian State vs South AlabamaSouth Alabama +3WW
2/20/2020Idaho vs Northern ArizonaNorthern Arizona -3WW
2/20/2020Cal State Fullerton vs UC Santa BarbaraUC Santa Barbara -4WW
2/20/2020Cal Poly vs UC DavisUC Davis -2.5WW
2/22/2020Providence vs MarquetteMarquette +2LL
2/22/2020Xavier vs VillanovaVillanova -1WW
2/22/2020Oklahoma State vs OklahomaOklahoma +1LL
2/22/2020Utah Valley vs Grand CanyonGrand Canyon +3.5LL
2/22/2020North Florida vs LipscombNorth Florida -9LW
2/22/2020South Carolina vs LSULSU -1WW
2/22/2020DePaul vs GeorgetownGeorgetown +2LW
2/23/2020Wisconsin vs RutgersWisconsin -4.5WW
2/23/2020Marist vs NiagaraNiagara +2LL
2/23/2020Oakland vs Green BayGreen Bay +3LW
2/24/2020Alabama State vs Alcorn StateAlcorn State +3WW
2/25/2020Texas A&M vs KentuckyKentucky -6.5WW
2/25/2020North Carolina vs NC StateNC State +2.5LL
2/26/2020Pittsburgh vs SyracuseSyracuse -1.5WW
2/26/2020Illinois State vs BradleyBradley -3PL
2/27/2020Stetson vs North FloridaNorth Florida -5WL
2/27/2020Santa Clara vs St. Mary'sSt. Mary's -6PW
2/28/2020Brown vs PrincetonPrinceton PKWW
2/28/2020Dayton vs DavidsonDavidson +11LL
2/29/2020TCU vs BaylorBaylor -7.5LW
2/29/2020Buffalo vs AkronAkron PKWL
2/29/2020Denver vs Western IllinoisWestern Illinois +5LL
2/29/2020Drake vs Northern IowaNorthern Iowa -4.5WW
2/29/2020UCLA vs ArizonaArizona -3LW
3/1/2020Houston vs CincinnatiHouston -7WW
3/1/2020Monmouth vs ManhattanMonmouth -5.5WW
3/1/2020Wisconsin vs MinnesotaWisconsin -6LP
3/3/2020North Florida vs JacksonvilleNorth Florida -9LW
3/3/2020Boston College vs SyracuseSyracuse -4.5WW
3/3/2020DePaul vs MarquetteMarquette -4LL
3/3/2020Iowa State vs West VirginiaIowa State +5LL
3/4/2020Charlotte vs North TexasNorth Texas -4.5LL
3/4/2020St. Francis PA vs BryantSt. Francis PA -7.5WW
3/4/2020Seton Hall vs VillanovaVillanova +4.5WW
3/5/2020UNLV vs Boise StateBoise State +3WW
3/5/2020Green Bay vs OaklandGreen Bay -4.5WL
3/6/2020Northern Iowa vs DrakeNorthern Iowa -9.5LL
3/6/2020Duquesne vs RichmondRichmond PKWW
3/7/2020Indiana vs WisconsinWisconsin +2WL
3/7/2020West Virginia vs BaylorBaylor +1LL
3/7/2020Virginia vs LouisvilleLouisville +1LL
3/7/2020Texas A&M vs ArkansasArkansas -3.5LL
3/7/2020Grand Canyon vs Cal State BakersfieldGrand Canyon -2.5WW
3/8/2020Hofstra vs DrexelHofstra -8WL
3/8/2020Illinois vs IowaIowa +3.5WW
3/10/2020Robert Morris vs St. Francis PASt. Francis PA +1LL
3/10/2020Niagara vs MaristNiagara PKWW
3/11/2020Northern Arizona vs Idaho StateNorthern Arizona -4.5LL
3/11/2020Arizona vs WashingtonArizona -4.5WW
3/11/2020Mississippi vs GeorgiaMississippi -2.5LL
3/11/2020Notre Dame vs Boston CollegeNotre Dame -9.5WW
3/11/2020Colgate vs Boston UniversityColgate -7LW

These results don’t confirm that it is more profitable, but it shows that I wasn’t going crazy during the season. I think that in my specific method of handicapping, my model tends to favor good first half teams. These results made me want to figure out if there was any significance behind it. That big of a winning percentage swing seems like a good enough reason for me to continue my research.

Spreads Bigger than 10

I decided to test large favorites against the full game spread and first-half spread. I choose teams that were favored by 10 or more on the full game spread. I choose this because 10 points seem to be about the cut off for late-game craziness and fouling. Below are the results for the 1,530 games during the 2020 College Basketball season with a spread higher of 10 or higher.

DateHomeHFirstHFullAwayAFirstAFullFirst SpreadFull Spread
1105Michigan4679AppalachianSt2571-8.5-16.5
1105Georgia3791WesternCarolina3872-8-15.5
1105IndianaU4698WesternIllinois2565-11-21.5
1105Temple3170Drexel3162-6-12
1105St.Bonaventure2553Ohio3265-6-12
1105LoyolaChicago3982UCDavis2248-6.5-12.5
1105Arkansas3991Rice1943-9.5-18.5
1105Minnesota3885ClevelandState2150-11-22
1105MississippiSt4077FloridaIntl3069-8-16
1105MissouriSt3966ArkansasLR3367-6.5-12.5
1105Oklahoma3685TexSanAntonio3667-6.5-13
1105SMU3174JacksonvilleSt2465-6.5-12.5
1105KansasState2167NorthDakotaState2254-5.5-11
1105Texas3469No.Colorado1545-8.5-16.5
1105TexasTech4685EasternIllinois3160-11-22
1105WesternKentucky3676TennesseeTech2364-10-19.5
1105WichitaState3168NebraskaOmaha2554-7.5-15
1105BYU3876CSFullerton2458-8-15.5
1105Auburn4183GeorgiaSouthern3774-7-14
1105Nebraska2847CalRiverside3266-8-15.5
1105ColoradoState3474DenverU2663-7-13.5
1105Oregon3871FresnoState2757-7-14
1105UNLV3986IPFW2371-6-11.5
1105UtahState3781MontanaState3473-11-21.5
1105OregonState4587CSNorthridge3167-6.5-13
1105Baylor53105CentralArkansas3261-13-26
1105Tulsa4180HoustonBaptist3872-8-15.5
1105SetonHall52105Wagner3771-14.5-29
1105NCGreensboro4283N.CarolinaA&T2050-9-18
1105VaCommonwealth3672St.FrancisPA2258-10-19.5
1105CoppinState4484Rider3791714
1105CollCharleston3674USCUpstate3355-9.5-19
1105GeorgeMason2068Navy2255-5.5-11
1105Xavier4376Jacksonville2257-11.5-23
1105Tennessee3678NCAsheville2863-13.5-26.5
1105Florida3974NorthFlorida2259-11-21.5
1105PennState3784MDEasternShore1746-16-31.5
1105Providence59106SacredHeart3060-9.5-18.5
1105RhodeIsland3676LongIsland2865-7.5-15
1105Maryland5195HolyCross3971-14.5-28.5
1105Gonzaga4295AlabamaState3064-18-36
1105TennesseeState64106AlabamaA&M2966-7-13.5
1105Illinois3078NichollsState1970-11-21.5
1105Marquette4488LoyolaMaryland1553-9-18
1105IowaState56110MissValleySt3374-17.5-34.5
1105MemphisU5097SoCarolinaSt3264-13-25.5
1105SouthFlorida3770ArkPineBluff2641-11-21.5
1105Villanova4997Army2654-11-22
1105Depaul4572AlcornState2654-12.5-25
1105Creighton3981KennesawSt3155-13-25.5
1105SanDiegoState4877TexasSouthern1342-7.5-15
1105CaliforniaBaptist3693JacksonState3070-6-12
1105USC2477FloridaA&M2348-13.5-26.5
1106St.Johns59109Mercer3879-5.5-10.5
1106Butler3680IUPUI2647-9.5-19
1106Purdue3579WiscGreenBay2257-11.5-23
1106Hofstra3571SanJoseState3479-9-18
1106OklahomaState3980OralRoberts3075-8-16
1106Vanderbilt3283SEMissouriSt3265-7-14
1106Arizona4491NorthernArizona2252-11.5-23
1106UCLA2769LongBeachState3365-8.5-17
1106SouthCarolina3777NorthAlabama2755-10-20
1106Georgetown2581MountStMarys3768-11-21.5
1106TexasA&M3877NorthwesternSt2663-13.5-27
1106Missouri4382IncarnateWord2242-13.5-27
1106CalSantaBarb3783JacksonState3462-9-18
1107AirForce3179IdahoState4289-7.5-14.5
1107Rutgers3873Bryant3071-11-21.5
1107Clemson4379Presbyterian2145-10-19.5
1107Drake3986KennesawSt1955-7.5-15
1108MiamiFlorida3574FlaAtlantic2660-6-12
1108Duke4289ColoradoState2655-12-23.5
1108Buffalo2663Dartmouth3368-6-12
1108Mississippi3971ArkansasState1943-11-21.5
1108NCWilmington2962NorthCarolina40781122.5
1108MemphisU4792IllinoisChicago1646-10.5-20.5
1108VaCommonwealth3159NorthTexas2156-8-15.5
1108Kentucky4691EasternKentucky2549-14.5-28.5
1108WestVirginia4794Akron3384-6-12
1108Xavier4281Siena3363-9.5-19
1108LSU4688BowlingGreen3679-7-13.5
1108Missouri3671NorthernKentucky2956-6.5-13
1108Wisconsin3465EasternIllinois2752-9.5-18.5
1108Iowa3887SIUEdwardsville2660-12-23.5
1108Kansas3674NCGreensboro3262-7.5-14.5
1108UtahState4889WeberState1334-8.5-16.5
1108SantaClara3377CalPolySLO2663-8-16
1108USC4176PortlandU3565-11.5-22.5
1108DelawareState2454Rider4981816.5
1108Connecticut4089SacredHeart3767-8-16
1108GeorgeMason3376Longwood2265-5-10
1108VirginiaTech3574CoppinState1242-12-24
1108Richmond42100St.FrancisPA4498-5.5-10.5
1108MississippiSt2767SamHoustonSt3458-8-15.5
1108Northwestern3561Merrimack3671-10-19.5
1108Depaul3470FairDickinson2859-7-13.5
1108UtahU70143MissValleySt2049-15-30
1108No.Colorado4983IncarnateWord3461-7.5-15
1108Hawaii3265FloridaA&M1252-9-17.5
1109WesternKentucky4197AustinPeay2575-6-12
1109IndianaU4385PortlandState3374-10-19.5
1109OklahomaState3769UMKC2651-8.5-16.5
1109CalRiverside2258IdahoU2651-6.5-12.5
1109Dayton3886IndianaState3381-6.5-12.5
1109TennMartin4275ETennesseeSt39925.511
1109Bradley4790IUPUI2356-6-12
1109NewMexico4397CSNorthridge3270-7.5-14.5
1109Maryland3573RhodeIsland3255-6-12
1109Stanford3370CSFullerton1954-7-13.5
1109Oregon48106BoiseState3075-5.5-10.5
1109Georgetown5489CentralArkansas4278-10.5-21
1109NotreDame3992RobertMorris2057-10.5-21
1109ULMonroe3873AlcornState2772-7-13.5
1109Pittsburgh3170NichollsState4175-9.5-18.5
1109Temple3775MorganState2757-9-18
1109SetonHall3174StonyBrook3357-10.5-20.5
1109CentralFlorida3673PrairieViewA&M2569-8.5-16.5
1109WichitaState2369TexasSouthern2463-10-20
1109ChicagoSt3785LoyolaMaryland53986.513
1109PennState3791Wagner3064-12.5-25
1109St.Johns3987CentralConn3357-13.5-27
1109GeoWashington3776Howard2762-6.5-12.5
1109Providence3476NJIT1947-8-16
1109Wofford3289HighPoint2661-8.5-16.5
1109Butler4579NewOrleansU2953-9.5-19
1109MurrayState3069Southern1749-10.5-21
1109TexasTech4079BethuneCookman1944-14-28
1109Gonzaga56110ArkPineBluff3060-18.5-37
1110Rutgers3986Niagara1539-11-21.5
1110Louisville3878YoungstownState3155-13-25.5
1110SouthCarolina3566Wyoming1632-8.5-17
1110NCState4384DetroitU3065-9-18
1110Virginia3165JamesMadison2334-12.5-24.5
1110Liberty3966MDEasternShore2755-13.5-27
1110Harvard3067Maine3146-9-18
1110CentralMichigan69134MissValleySt4278-14.5-28.5
1110MissouriSt2959AlabamaState2250-9-18
1110OhioState3876UMassLowell2556-11.5-22.5
1110FresnoState3577Winthrop3074-5-10
1110MichiganState54100Binghamton2347-18.5-37
1111NorthDakotaState3074CalPolySLO3367-8.5-16.5
1111Alabama4378FlaAtlantic2559-6.5-12.5
1111Cincinnati4481Drake2559-6-12
1111GeorgiaTech2564Elon1341-11-22
1111TexasA&M2263ULMonroe3057-7.5-14.5
1111Jacksonville2259BowlingGreen4075510
1111Mercer3174KennesawSt1962-6-11.5
1111Vanderbilt2971TexasA&MCorpus3166-9-17.5
1111UAB3274AlabamaA&M2552-11.5-23
1111NebraskaOmaha4790BethuneCookman2761-5-10
1111SaintMarysCA2559Winthrop2661-9.5-18.5
1111SouthDakota4485FloridaA&M4482-8.5-17
1112CharlotteU3971Davidson2258510
1112Kentucky3064Evansville3467-12.5-25
1112Georgia4895TheCitadel4086-14.5-28.5
1112Wofford3979William&Mary3580-5-10
1112TennesseeTech3180WrightState2785510
1112EasternIllinois5698ChicagoSt1634-9-18
1112MissouriSt3973ClevelandState2353-9-17.5
1112Arkansas2866NorthTexas1643-6.5-13
1112IowaState3170NoIllinois3452-7.5-14.5
1112TCU5298ULLafayette3865-8.5-17
1112Texas2667CaliforniaBaptist2254-8.5-16.5
1112Tennessee3582MurrayState4463-6-11.5
1112Stanford4786LongBeachState2258-6.5-13
1112UtahState5397DenverU2756-12-23.5
1112Gonzaga5597NorthDakota3666-14.5-29
1112USC3884SouthDakotaState3166-7-14
1112RobertMorris2757Pittsburgh27715.511
1112Manhattan4485DelawareState3574-9.5-19
1112Liberty2465SoCarolinaSt1339-9.5-18.5
1112WesternMichigan4491MissValleySt3281-14.5-29
1112Duke57105CentralArkansas2054-17-33.5
1112St.Johns3674NewHampshire3461-10.5-21
1112Longwood5085MDEasternShore2255-7.5-15
1112Duquesne2366Lamar2356-6.5-13
1112NotreDame4179Howard2150-14.5-28.5
1112IndianaU4791NorthAlabama4065-10.5-21
1112Mississippi4068NorfolkSt3555-12.5-24.5
1112TexasState4375PrairieViewA&M2948-6-11.5
1112LoyolaChicago3872CoppinState3176-11.5-22.5
1112Tulane4488JacksonState4279-6-11.5
1112SMU3977NewOrleansU3364-8-16
1112HoustonU4184AlabamaState2556-14-27.5
1112WashingtonU2156MountStMarys2146-11-22
1113Connecticut3887St.Josephs5496-7-13.5
1113SouthFlorida3653IUPUI3870-8.5-16.5
1113Louisville4791IndianaState2662-10-20
1113NorthernIowa2467CSBakersfield2255-5.5-11
1113Rutgers3062Drexel3157-7.5-15
1113KansasState2073Monmouth2954-8.5-16.5
1113BYU3668SouthernUtah3163-6-11.5
1113NewMexico4993WiscGreenBay4378-7.5-15
1113NCState3786FloridaIntl3777-8.5-16.5
1113SanDiegoState4086GrandCanyon2461-6-12
1113Columbia3775Binghamton3363-7.5-15
1113WakeForest4998NCAsheville4479-6.5-12.5
1113Wisconsin3783McNeeseState3463-11.5-22.5
1113BostonCollege3359HighPoint1833-9.5-19
1113VirginiaTech3880USCUpstate2457-13-25.5
1113Vermont3062BostonU2747-6-11.5
1113StephenF.Austin3489Niagara3280-6-12
1113HoustonBaptist3974TexasTech541031224
1114MississippiSt3962ULMonroe2445-8-15.5
1114Florida3066Towson3060-9-18
1114Harvard3759Siena3056-5-10
1114Arizona3987SanJoseState1739-15.5-31
1114SaintMarysCA4181LongBeachState3163-10-19.5
1114Cincinnati3585AlabamaA&M2353-17-33.5
1114ETennesseeSt3261Winthrop2558-6-11.5
1114NewMexicoState3079Southern2563-12-23.5
1114ArizonaState4390CentralConn2349-14.5-29
1115Michigan3170Elon2250-12-24
1115Mississippi4085WesternMichigan3258-10-19.5
1115NotreDame4074Marshall2964-9.5-19
1115Duke3674GeorgiaState3463-14.5-28.5
1115FloridaState3679WesternCarolina4374-9-18
1115SouthCarolina4590ClevelandState4063-12-23.5
1115Xavier3259MissouriSt3056-6.5-13
1115EasternKentucky3471WesternKentucky4579510.5
1115Baylor3072TexasState3063-7.5-15
1115HoustonU2871BYU3572-6-11.5
1115Iowa5587OralRoberts4074-6.5-12.5
1115Kansas59112Monmouth2157-13.5-26.5
1115Auburn66116CSNorthridge3870-12-23.5
1115NCGreensboro3164TennesseeTech1230-8-15.5
1115Georgia50100DelawareState3066-16-32
1115Akron2757NCCentral1547-7.5-14.5
1115NoIllinois3781CoppinState2969-6.5-13
1115Duquesne2458Lipscomb1836-5-10
1115Texas2670PrairieViewA&M2256-13-26
1115SouthDakota4688TexasSouthern2569-6-11.5
1115UtahState3881N.CarolinaA&T2354-14.5-29
1115NorthCarolina3077GardnerWebb2761-13.5-26.5
1116NCGreensboro3366MontanaState2967-7.5-15
1116Maryland3580Oakland2250-9.5-19
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1126Chaminade1648UCLA227410.521.5
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1127RhodeIsland3273Manhattan1964-6-12
1127OregonState4583SanJoseState2448-10.5-20.5
1127Alabama3167NorthCarolina3776510
1127SouthernMiss3269Gonzaga539412.525.5
1127UCLA2362MichiganState2675714
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1207UTEP3559ArkPineBluff3450-13-25.5
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1210Kansas5295WiscMilwaukee2768-13-26
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311NCCentral4592DelawareState3275-5-10
311N.CarolinaA&T3986Howard2777-5.5-10.5

In those games, the favorites went 720-780-30 against the full game spread, for a winning percentage of only 48.0%. When compared to the first half spread those same teams went 801-700-29, for a winning percentage of 53.4%. If you look at all 5,328 games, the favorite covered the full games spread in 48.8% and covered the first-half spread in 50.2% of there games. While this doesn’t necessarily prove that betting the first-half spread is more profitable it appears like it could be. 

Should you Bet the First Half Spread?

According to my findings, it looks like betting the first-half spread could be profitable. While both of my examples only highlight a small sample from 1 season, it does help paint a bigger picture. Due to the unpredictability at the end of College Basketball games, the first half spread allows for a more stable finish. I plan to do more research on this over the offseason and examine what the best situations are to bet the first-half spread.

Head over to twitter to let me know what you think about Betting the First Half vs Full Game Spread in College Basketball. If you enjoyed this article head over to my picks page to see who I am betting on. Also, go check out my rankings. Finally, don’t forget to check out my sports betting record and blog posts.

Chris Hogan

Host of the Hot Tip Bets Show and huge Arizona Cardinals fan. I write articles about sports betting and other related topics. To stay updated on all things related to the website make sure you are following @HotTipBetsChris on Betstamp, Twitter and Instagram.